The Los Angeles Angels (26-32) visit the Boston Red Sox (29-32) Monday in the opener of a 3-game series. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Angels vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Red Sox won 4-2 last season
The Angels have hit a wall, dropping 7 of their last 8 games. They are coming off a 4-2 loss at the Cleveland Guardians Sunday, losing 2 of 3 in that series. Los Angeles is 16-17 on the road this season, but is 8-2 in its last 10 away games.
The Red Sox have traded off winning and losing over their last 4, taking down the Atlanta Braves 3-1 Sunday. They won 2 of 3 in that series, but are 2-6 in their last 8 games. Boston has struggled offensively as of late, scoring 5 or fewer runs in 8 straight contests.
Angels at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Richard Fitts
Anderson (2-2, 0-2 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 61 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 3-2 home setback vs. New York Yankees Tuesday
- 2025 road stats: 1-0, 4.78 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 5 starts
- Career vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 5.30 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 21 H, 11 BB, 14 K in 4 starts, including 0-1 with 6.23 ERA in 1 start last year
Fitts (0-2, 2.70 ERA) makes his fifth start. The rookie has allowed 16 hits and 6 walks with 15 K’s through 20 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 5-1 defeat at Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday
- 2025 home stats: 0-1, 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER), 6 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 6-2 loss against Toronto Blue Jays April 7
- Made career debut in 2024 — has yet to face the Angels
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Angels at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:59 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Angels +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Red Sox -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-170) | Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Angels at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Angels 4, Red Sox 3
BET ANGELS (+125).
The Red Sox have lost all 4 of Fitts’ starts this season, including a 3-2 road loss to the Chicago White Sox April 12. Boston has lost 2 straight games and 3 of its last 5 at home as well.
The Angels have won 2 of Anderson’s previous 3 starts and have scored at least 4 runs in 9 of their last 10 away games. They rank in the top half of the league in road win percentage at 48.5%, tied for eighth overall.
Considering those trends, back ANGELS (+125).
PASS.
There’s no great value on the spread. The Angels are too expensive as underdogs, while the Red Sox are too risky to play as favorites here. Avoid a spread wager.
BET UNDER 9.5 (-105).
The significant trend for both sides has been the Under as of late. The Angels have gone Under in 7 of their last 8 games, including Anderson’s last start. They have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 7.
The Red Sox have hit the Under in 7 of their last 8 games, scoring more than 5 runs in none of them and surpassing 2 runs just 3 times during that stretch. They are 0-4 O/U in Fitts’ starts.
Back UNDER 9.5 (-105).
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